Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's global operations acquisition by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Oracle acquires • 25%
U.S. investors group acquires • 25%
ByteDance retains majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from involved companies or major news outlets
Story
Trump Confirms Microsoft in Talks to Acquire TikTok, Seeks Bidding War Over App
Jan 28, 2025, 03:10 AM
President Donald Trump confirmed that Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations from China's ByteDance Ltd., saying he would like to see a bidding war over the app to get the best deal. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump stated he does not want China involved with TikTok, which faces a potential ban in the United States on national security grounds. Reports also indicate that Oracle, along with a group of U.S. investors, is in negotiations to take over TikTok's global operations, with ByteDance potentially retaining a minority stake.
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Similar markets
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
Other party acquires TikTok • 25%
No acquisition occurs • 25%
Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Another company acquires • 25%
Microsoft acquires • 25%
No sale, TikTok banned • 25%
No sale, TikTok not banned • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
No change in ownership • 25%
Banned with no sale • 25%
Acquired by MrBeast and Jesse Tinsley's group • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
No acquisition, TikTok remains operational • 25%
No acquisition, TikTok banned • 25%
Acquired by MrBeast-led group • 25%