Market
What will be the outcome of the U.S. Congress investigation into Chinese cyber activities by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Official reports or conclusions released by the U.S. Congress
Story
U.S. Offers $10 Million Reward for Information on Chinese Cybersecurity Breach Affecting 80,000 Networks and 36 Critical Infrastructure Items
Dec 13, 2024, 01:39 AM
The U.S. Treasury Department has announced a $10 million reward for information regarding a Chinese company and its employee, who are accused of breaching the firewalls of 80,000 computer networks globally. This includes violations affecting 36 critical infrastructure items in the United States. The extent of the damage from these cyber intrusions was highlighted by the counterintelligence director, as Congress continues to investigate the activities of Chinese cyber spies, emphasizing that all members of the committee are potential targets. Additionally, reports indicate that the Chinese telecom sector is preparing for significant developments amid these cybersecurity concerns.
View original story
Similar markets
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Impeachment Proceedings • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Formal Censure • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Attribution to Chinese APT actor • 25%
Attribution to another state actor • 25%
Attribution to non-state actor • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions on U.S. firms • 25%