Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts against Chinese cyber threats by end of 2025?
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Biden•Chinese•Shanghai•Yin Kecheng•Sichuan Juxinhe•Salt Typhoon•PRC•Ministry of State Security•China
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or international agreements
Story
US Sanctions Sichuan Juxinhe and Hacker Yin Kecheng for Salt Typhoon and Treasury Cyberattacks
Jan 17, 2025, 04:53 PM
The Biden administration has imposed sanctions on a Chinese cybersecurity company, Sichuan Juxinhe Network Technology Co., and a Shanghai-based hacker, Yin Kecheng, for their roles in significant cyberattacks against U.S. entities. Sichuan Juxinhe is linked to the Salt Typhoon hacking group, which compromised the networks of nine major U.S. telecommunications and internet service providers. The hacker, Yin Kecheng, affiliated with the PRC's Ministry of State Security, was involved in a recent December hack of the U.S. Treasury Department's network. These actions are part of a broader U.S. effort to counter cyber threats from China, which have targeted U.S. government systems and critical infrastructure.
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Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Bilateral cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Continued accusations without resolution • 25%
Increased tensions and potential sanctions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No change • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
