Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-China negotiations on cybersecurity by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. State Department or Chinese Foreign Ministry announcements
Story
China Opposes U.S. Sanctions Against Beijing-Based Cybersecurity Firm, Vows to Protect Rights
Jan 6, 2025, 10:36 AM
In response to recent sanctions imposed by the U.S. Treasury Department against a Beijing-based cybersecurity firm over hacking allegations, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun stated that China firmly opposes what it describes as the U.S.'s exaggeration of so-called Chinese cyberattacks. During a routine press conference, Guo emphasized that China would take necessary measures to protect its legitimate rights and interests. He reiterated Beijing's stance against unilateral sanctions, labeling them as illegal. This statement follows the U.S. government's actions, which China views as part of a broader pattern of foreign interference and cyber threats against its national security.
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New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
Continued accusations without resolution • 25%
Increased tensions and potential sanctions • 25%
Bilateral cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
