Market
How will the Chinese government respond to cybersecurity breach accusations by April 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deny involvement • 25%
Acknowledge involvement • 25%
Propose diplomatic talks • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government or state media
Story
U.S. Offers $10 Million Reward for Information on Chinese Cybersecurity Breach Affecting 80,000 Networks and 36 Critical Infrastructure Items
Dec 13, 2024, 01:39 AM
The U.S. Treasury Department has announced a $10 million reward for information regarding a Chinese company and its employee, who are accused of breaching the firewalls of 80,000 computer networks globally. This includes violations affecting 36 critical infrastructure items in the United States. The extent of the damage from these cyber intrusions was highlighted by the counterintelligence director, as Congress continues to investigate the activities of Chinese cyber spies, emphasizing that all members of the committee are potential targets. Additionally, reports indicate that the Chinese telecom sector is preparing for significant developments amid these cybersecurity concerns.
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No significant action • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions on U.S. firms • 25%
Acknowledgement and promise of investigation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Denial of allegations • 25%
Call for diplomatic talks • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Other responses • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
