Market
What will be the U.S. response to Chinese cyber activities by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Official U.S. government actions and announcements
Story
U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen Warns China of Consequences Over Cyber Attacks and Support for Russia
Jan 7, 2025, 05:38 AM
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen met virtually with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and raised concerns about 'malicious cyber activity' carried out by Chinese state-sponsored actors, according to the U.S. Treasury Department. The meeting, which took place on Monday, also covered macroeconomic developments in both countries and the work of the Economic and Financial Working Groups established last year. Yellen expressed serious concern over the cyber activities' impact on the bilateral relationship and highlighted issues related to China's non-market policies and practices, as well as industrial overcapacity, which she noted harm U.S. workers and firms. She also warned of significant consequences for companies, including those in China, should they provide material support for Russia's war against Ukraine. Both sides agreed on the importance of maintaining communication during the political transition period in the U.S.
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Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions on U.S. firms • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Increased tensions and potential sanctions • 25%
Bilateral cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continued accusations without resolution • 25%
No official response • 25%
Call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Acknowledgement and promise of investigation • 25%
Denial of allegations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
New cybersecurity legislation • 25%
Increased cyber defense funding • 25%
International cyber cooperation agreements • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Propose diplomatic talks • 25%
Acknowledge involvement • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Federal Bureau of Investigation • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency • 25%
National Security Agency • 25%