Market
What will be the outcome of congressional actions following the DOJ report on 2020 election interference by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment Proceedings • 25%
Formal Censure • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
Official records from the US Congress and the DOJ
Story
DOJ Releases Report Alleging Trump Would Have Been Convicted for 2020 Election Interference if Not Re-elected
Jan 14, 2025, 12:00 PM
The US Justice Department has released Special Counsel Jack Smith's final report, which alleges that President-elect Donald Trump engaged in an 'unprecedented criminal effort' to overturn the results of the 2020 election. Smith stated that 'but for Mr. Trump's election and imminent return to the presidency, the office assessed that the admissible evidence was sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction at trial.' The 174-page report was submitted to Congress and released early Tuesday morning. Smith emphasized that his team 'stood up for the rule of law' during the investigation.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant issues found • 25%
Significant issues found • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Severe Misconduct Found • 25%
No Misconduct Found • 25%
Minor Misconduct Found • 25%
Significant Misconduct Found • 25%
U.S. Congress • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
FBI • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Other • 25%
New regulations on vaccine transparency • 25%
Investigations into pharmaceutical companies • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
FBI exonerated • 25%
FBI criticized with recommendations • 25%
Formal action taken against FBI • 25%
FBI criticized but no action • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Violations confirmed • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
No violations found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Overturned in court • 25%
Minor challenges • 25%
Major challenges • 25%