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What will be the outcome of the phase two ceasefire negotiations by February 26, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements by negotiating parties or verified news sources
Story
Biden Announces Israel to Negotiate Ceasefire Phase Two for Permanent End to War Over Next Six Weeks
Jan 15, 2025, 07:09 PM
President Joe Biden announced that Israel will engage in negotiations over the next six weeks to transition to the second phase of a ceasefire agreement, which aims for a permanent end to the war. Biden emphasized that the ceasefire will continue beyond the initial 42 days as long as the negotiations for phase two are ongoing. This plan was detailed by Biden, indicating a structured approach to achieving a lasting peace in the region.
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Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Hostage agreement fulfilled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel resumes fighting • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
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Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire ends without extension • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Hostage negotiations fail • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire ends with resumed hostilities • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Permanent peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Rejected by both parties • 25%
Rejected by Hamas • 25%
Rejected by Israel • 25%
Approved by both parties • 25%
