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What will be the outcome of the ceasefire agreement implementation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
IDF Begins Withdrawal from Khiam, Lebanon, Under Ceasefire Agreement with Hezbollah Effective November 27, 2024
Dec 12, 2024, 03:49 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have commenced their withdrawal from the Khiam area in southern Lebanon as part of a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah, which took effect on November 27, 2024. This withdrawal marks the first phase of the agreement, with the Lebanese Army deploying units in five locations around Khiam to replace Israeli forces. The U.S. military has confirmed this initial withdrawal, emphasizing the transition of control from Israeli to Lebanese forces in the region. The ceasefire agreement aims to stabilize the area following ongoing tensions and violations by both parties.
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Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire ends without extension • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Partial withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws and disarms • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Israel resumes fighting • 25%
Hostage agreement fulfilled • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Agreement dissolved • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
