Market
What will be the outcome of the ceasefire negotiations by February 28, 2025?
3
Hamas•Israeli•Romi Gonen•Emily Damari•Doron Steinbrecher•Abu Ubaida•Gonen•Nova•Damari•Steinbrecher•Kfar Aza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official statements from both parties and international news coverage
Story
Hamas to Release Israeli Hostages Gonen, Damari, Steinbrecher Today After Ceasefire Delay
Jan 19, 2025, 08:39 AM
Hamas announced that it will release three Israeli female hostages today: Romi Gonen, 24; Emily Damari, 28; and Doron Steinbrecher, 31. The announcement was made by Hamas spokesman Abu Ubaida after hours of withholding the hostage list and delaying a ceasefire. Gonen was abducted from the Nova music festival, while Damari, a British-Israeli citizen, and Steinbrecher were kidnapped from their homes in Kfar Aza. Israeli authorities have confirmed receipt of the list, and family members have acknowledged their relatives are set to be freed.
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Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire ends without extension • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Hostage negotiations fail • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Israel resumes fighting • 25%
Hostage agreement fulfilled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire without hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire with hostage release • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%