Market
Will Lebanese Army deploy in all five locations around Khiam by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official confirmation from the Lebanese Army or reports from credible international news agencies
Story
IDF Begins Withdrawal from Khiam, Lebanon, Under Ceasefire Agreement with Hezbollah Effective November 27, 2024
Dec 12, 2024, 03:49 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have commenced their withdrawal from the Khiam area in southern Lebanon as part of a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah, which took effect on November 27, 2024. This withdrawal marks the first phase of the agreement, with the Lebanese Army deploying units in five locations around Khiam to replace Israeli forces. The U.S. military has confirmed this initial withdrawal, emphasizing the transition of control from Israeli to Lebanese forces in the region. The ceasefire agreement aims to stabilize the area following ongoing tensions and violations by both parties.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Withdrawn from Khiam • 25%
Monitoring only • 25%
Active peacekeeping • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No deployment • 25%
Partial deployment • 25%
Full deployment as per ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lebanese Armed Forces • 25%
UNIFIL • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
