Market
What will be the outcome of Russia's threat against Ukraine by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements from Russian or Ukrainian authorities
Story
Putin Threatens Greater Destruction After Kazan Hit by Eight Ukrainian Drones
Dec 22, 2024, 12:15 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to bring greater destruction to Ukraine following a drone attack involving at least eight drones on the Russian city of Kazan, located approximately 1,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. On Saturday, Ukrainian drones loaded with explosives targeted Kazan, damaging infrastructure that authorities in the Republic of Tatarstan have pledged to restore. Speaking during a videoconference dedicated to the launch of transportation infrastructure projects, Putin stated, 'Whoever tries to destroy something here will face many times more destruction themselves and will regret what they are trying to do in our country.'
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ukraine cleared of responsibility • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
No missile strike • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%