Market
What will be the outcome of Russian claims against Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Dmitry Medvedev•Russian Security Council•Ukraine•Igor Kirillov•Russia•Kirillov•Moscow•Medvedev•Kiev•West•Ukrainian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine found responsible • 25%
Ukraine cleared of responsibility • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
International court rulings, official investigations, or major news reports
Story
Medvedev Vows Retaliation Against Ukraine for Assassination of General Kirillov in Moscow
Dec 17, 2024, 12:50 PM
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, has vowed 'inevitable retaliation' against Ukraine's military and political leadership following the assassination of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Troops. Kirillov was killed in Moscow due to an explosion. Medvedev described the attack as an act of 'agony' by the Kiev regime, accusing Ukraine of attempting to justify its military failures to the West through terrorist acts in peaceful cities. He emphasized that the Ukrainian leadership would face imminent punishment for Kirillov's death.
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Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ukraine regains all territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
No change in territorial control • 25%
Russia gains more territory • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia gains significant territory • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Only • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%