Market
What will be the outcome of Russia's operation in Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Sergey Naryshkin•Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•Ukraine•Razvedchik•Naryshkin•Russian army•Ukrainian Armed Forces•Kremlin•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Official statements from Russian and Ukrainian governments, and reports from international agencies
Story
Russian Intelligence Chief Naryshkin Says Ukraine's Forces Near Collapse as Russia Nears Objectives
Dec 10, 2024, 07:05 AM
Sergey Naryshkin, the director of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), has asserted that Russia is close to achieving the objectives set in its 'special military operation' in Ukraine. In an interview with the magazine 'Razvedchik', Naryshkin stated that the Russian army holds the strategic initiative on all fronts and that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are on the verge of collapse. The Kremlin echoed these sentiments, affirming that the operation will conclude when all goals established by President Vladimir Putin are fulfilled, either through military action or negotiations.
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Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
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Temporary ceasefire • 25%
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%