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What will be the outcome of Russia's commitment to retaliate against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military retaliation • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Official statements from the Russian Defense Ministry or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Russian Defense Ministry Reports January 3 Missile Strike Attempt on Belgorod from Ukraine Using ATACMS
Jan 4, 2025, 12:44 PM
The Russian Defense Ministry reported an attempted missile strike on the Belgorod region from Ukraine on January 3, involving ATACMS missiles. In response, Russian officials emphasized that countermeasures would be taken against the actions of the Ukrainian regime, which is supported by the West. The ministry reaffirmed its commitment to retaliate against the targeting of Russian territory with American-made missiles launched from Ukraine.
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Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Military strike • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
