Market
What will be the outcome of Russia-U.S. diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian or U.S. governments, international news outlets
Story
Russia Urges Citizens to Avoid Travel to U.S. and Allies Amidst Rising Tensions
Dec 11, 2024, 10:56 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory urging its citizens to refrain from non-emergency travel to the United States and its satellite states, citing increased confrontation and the risk of detention by American authorities. This comes as relations between Russia and the U.S. are described as teetering on the verge of rupture. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov mentioned that the Kremlin would consider another prisoner exchange with the U.S. once Donald Trump takes office. Additionally, Russia has sent a request for approval of a new ambassador to the U.S., indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts despite the tensions.
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Relations worsen • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Unclear or mixed signals • 25%