Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic relations between Russia and the West regarding Syria by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or credible news reports
Story
Russia's SVR Claims US and UK Planning Terrorist Attacks on Russian Military Bases in Syria to Force Withdrawal
Dec 28, 2024, 07:22 AM
Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has accused U.S. and U.K. intelligence agencies of planning terrorist attacks on Russian military bases in Syria. The SVR claims these actions are intended to provoke Russia into withdrawing its forces from the region. The allegations suggest that the intelligence agencies are attempting to destabilize the situation in Syria following the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad. The SVR did not provide specific evidence to support its claims, which have been widely reported by various news agencies. The situation reflects ongoing tensions between Russia and the West regarding military presence and influence in Syria.
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Other • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Political agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful resolution and agreement • 25%
Ongoing diplomatic talks without resolution • 25%
Increased tensions without diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Relations weakened • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Severance of relations • 25%