Market
What significant geopolitical event will occur between Russia and the U.S. by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military conflict • 25%
Major diplomatic agreement • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
International news outlets, official government statements
Story
Russia Urges Citizens to Avoid Travel to U.S. and Allies Amidst Rising Tensions
Dec 11, 2024, 10:56 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory urging its citizens to refrain from non-emergency travel to the United States and its satellite states, citing increased confrontation and the risk of detention by American authorities. This comes as relations between Russia and the U.S. are described as teetering on the verge of rupture. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov mentioned that the Kremlin would consider another prisoner exchange with the U.S. once Donald Trump takes office. Additionally, Russia has sent a request for approval of a new ambassador to the U.S., indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts despite the tensions.
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Alliance formation • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Regional conflicts • 25%
Nuclear arms control • 25%
Sanctions and trade • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear or mixed signals • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No meeting takes place • 25%
Meeting with no significant agreements • 25%
Meeting with significant agreements • 25%
Meeting results in conflict escalation • 25%