Market
Will Russia and the U.S. conduct a prisoner exchange after Trump takes office by end of 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Russian or U.S. governments
Story
Russia Urges Citizens to Avoid Travel to U.S. and Allies Amidst Rising Tensions
Dec 11, 2024, 10:56 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory urging its citizens to refrain from non-emergency travel to the United States and its satellite states, citing increased confrontation and the risk of detention by American authorities. This comes as relations between Russia and the U.S. are described as teetering on the verge of rupture. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov mentioned that the Kremlin would consider another prisoner exchange with the U.S. once Donald Trump takes office. Additionally, Russia has sent a request for approval of a new ambassador to the U.S., indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts despite the tensions.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
25-50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
No exchange • 25%
Less than 25 prisoners exchanged • 25%
More than 50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
United Arab Emirates • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Belarus • 25%