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What will be the outcome of Putin-Trump negotiations on Ukraine by the end of 2025?
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Vladimir Putin•Donald Trump•Ukraine•Putin•Trump•Russia•United States•Kyiv•Moscow•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements or agreements published by involved parties
Story
Putin Ready to Meet Trump Anytime for Ukraine Peace Talks, Demands Kyiv Cede Four Regions
Dec 22, 2024, 07:10 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed readiness to negotiate with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to seek a compromise solution to end the war in Ukraine. Putin stated he is willing to meet with Trump "at any time" and that Russia is prepared to build relations with the United States if there is mutual desire. He emphasized that any compromise should not come at the expense of Russia's interests, specifying that Kyiv must renounce four regions annexed by Moscow. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky responded that he is not yet ready for a ceasefire.
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Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Summit canceled • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on conflict resolution • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%