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What will be the outcome of the Trump-Putin meeting on Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or Kremlin
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Trump and Putin Set to Meet, Discuss Ukraine Agreement with Security Guarantees
Jan 12, 2025, 02:57 PM
Preparations are underway for a meeting between U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, as announced by Trump's incoming National Security Adviser, Mike Waltz. Waltz also indicated that a phone call between the two leaders is expected in the coming days or weeks. Trump believes that an agreement on Ukraine is impossible without dialogue with Russia and plans to address this issue in the coming months. The White House has stated that any agreement on Ukraine should include security guarantees to prevent a repeat of the conflict.
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No agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Agreement on further talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Talks Not Held • 25%