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What will be the outcome of Israel-Gaza negotiations by January 20, 2025?
2
Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•White House•Security•Jake Sullivan•Donald Trump•Sullivan•Netanyahu•Doha
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostage deal only • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
Neither • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Israeli government, major news outlets
Story
Biden to Discuss Gaza Hostage and Ceasefire Deal with Netanyahu Before Trump's Inauguration
Jan 12, 2025, 02:54 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden is expected to speak with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the near future to discuss ongoing negotiations over a hostage deal and ceasefire in Gaza. White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan indicated that an agreement is very close but not finalized, expressing hope that a deal could be reached before January 20, when Donald Trump is set to be inaugurated. Sullivan's comments suggest a sense of urgency and cautious optimism regarding the negotiations. Netanyahu has dispatched his most senior-level negotiators to Doha to facilitate the talks.
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Hostage release only • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
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Only Ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
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No Agreement • 25%
Agreement approved and implemented • 25%
Negotiations continue beyond deadline • 25%
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Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hostage Release Only • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
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Resumption of hostilities • 25%
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Permanent peace agreement • 25%
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No agreement reached • 25%
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Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
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Deal approved with terrorist release • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Partial hostage release • 25%
Other • 25%
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Extended ceasefire • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
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Partial Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
Full Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%