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What will be the outcome of Iraq-Syria talks on ISIS by June 30, 2025?
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Iraq•Fuad Hussein•Middle East•Iran•Gaza•Lebanon•Syria•Hussein•United States•Trump•Washington•ISIS•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official statements from the Iraqi or Syrian government, or credible news outlets
Story
Iraq Urges Iran-Backed Militias to Disarm, Seeks Good Relations with US Under Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 03:56 PM
Iraq is attempting to persuade Iran-aligned armed factions within its borders to disarm or integrate into the country's official security forces, according to Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein. This initiative comes amidst significant shifts in the Middle East, including the weakening of Iran's allies in Gaza and Lebanon and the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria. Hussein emphasized that the presence of weapons outside state control is unacceptable and expressed hope that these groups would lay down their arms and join the government-controlled forces. The move is part of Iraq's effort to balance its relations with both the United States and Iran, especially with the incoming Trump administration. Hussein noted that while Iraq aims to maintain good relations with Washington, it is too early to predict Trump's policy towards Iraq or Iran. Additionally, Iraq is concerned about the resurgence of ISIS in Syria and is in talks with the new Syrian government to ensure stability and inclusivity in the political process.
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Other outcome • 25%
Troops increased • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops remain • 25%
Foiled attack • 25%
No significant operation • 25%
Major ISIS leader captured • 25%
Successful attack • 25%
Elimination of key ISIS leaders • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Capture of ISIS operatives • 25%
Destruction of weapons cache • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Granted asylum in Iraq • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Complete defeat of ISIS • 25%
ISIS resurgence • 25%
Significant degradation of ISIS • 25%
Stalemate with ISIS • 25%
Increased tensions leading to sanctions • 25%
Agreement on de-escalation measures • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued diplomatic stalemate • 25%
ISIS eliminated • 25%
Increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Eliminated • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Stable • 25%
Resurgence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Significant weakening of ISIS • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
ISIS relocates operations • 25%
Opposition captures other major cities but not Damascus • 25%
Opposition fails to capture any major cities • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Opposition captures Damascus • 25%