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What will be the outcome of the Syrian political transition talks by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National unity government formed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the UN or Syrian government
Story
UN Envoy Pedersen Urges Immediate Geneva Talks for Syrian Political Transition
Dec 7, 2024, 03:42 PM
Geir Pedersen, the UN Special Envoy for Syria, has called for urgent political talks in Geneva to implement UN Security Council Resolution 2254 amid rapidly changing conditions in the country. Pedersen emphasized the need for an organized political transition in Syria, stating that the situation is changing by the minute. He urged for calm, the avoidance of bloodshed, and the protection of civilians. Additionally, sources revealed a circulating roadmap for a solution in Syria, which includes the formation of a national unity government and the implementation of Resolution 2254. Pedersen's call for talks has been supported by the foreign ministers of Iran, Turkey, and Russia, who have agreed to hold discussions in Geneva, with a date to be announced shortly.
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Other outcome • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial Surrender • 25%
Full Surrender • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal alliance • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Autonomous region for Kurds • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%