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What will be the outcome for Syrian soldiers in Iraq by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Returned to Syria • 25%
Granted asylum in Iraq • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Iraqi government and international organizations
Story
Around 2,000 Syrian Soldiers Cross into Iraq via Al-Qaim Border, Iraqi Officials Confirm
Dec 7, 2024, 02:38 PM
On Saturday, December 7, 2024, hundreds of Syrian soldiers crossed into Iraq via the Al-Qaim border crossing, with numbers increasing to around 2,000 by day's end, according to local officials, the Iraqi News Agency, and security sources cited by Reuters. The soldiers entered in coordination with Iraqi forces, with some reportedly wounded and receiving medical treatment. Turki Al-Mahlawi, the mayor of the border town of Al-Qaim, confirmed that the troops sought refuge in Iraq amid escalating conflict in Syria. The mass crossing follows advances by rebel and jihadist forces in southern Syria, leading to a rapid deterioration of the military situation for Syrian government forces.
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Troops remain • 25%
Troops increased • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Provide asylum • 25%
Repatriate to Syria • 25%
Transfer to a third country • 25%
Detain indefinitely • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebel forces gain ground • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Decisive victory for Syrian government • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Interim government • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
Stalemate between rebels and Syrian army • 25%
Syrian army regains control • 25%
Rebels gain control over northeast Syria • 25%
Foreign intervention changes control dynamics • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No progress • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Granted asylum elsewhere • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reintegrated into Syrian military • 25%
Imprisoned • 25%
Flees to Russia • 25%
Flees to Iraq • 25%
Remains in Syria • 25%
Captured by rebels • 25%
