Market
Primary outcome of US airstrikes on ISIS in Syria by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant weakening of ISIS • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increase in ISIS activity • 25%
ISIS relocates operations • 25%
Reports from international defense analysts and news agencies
Story
US Launches Over 70 Airstrikes Against ISIS in Syria, CENTCOM Announces
Dec 8, 2024, 08:17 PM
The United States has conducted a series of airstrikes targeting ISIS positions in Syria, launching over 70 precision strikes to disrupt the terrorist group's operations amid the country's instability. The U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced the military action, aiming to prevent ISIS from exploiting the volatile situation in Syria.
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Similar markets
Significant reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
No change in ISIS presence • 25%
Moderate reduction in ISIS presence • 25%
Increase in ISIS presence • 25%
Significant degradation of ISIS • 25%
ISIS resurgence • 25%
Stalemate with ISIS • 25%
Complete defeat of ISIS • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
101 to 150 • 25%
More than 150 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
Disrupting ISIS supply lines • 25%
Other • 25%
Targeting ISIS leaders • 25%
Destroying ISIS camps • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
