Will Iran-backed militias in Iraq disarm or integrate by the end of 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Iraqi government or credible news sources
Iraq Urges Iran-Backed Militias to Disarm, Seeks Good Relations with US Under Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 03:56 PM
Iraq is attempting to persuade Iran-aligned armed factions within its borders to disarm or integrate into the country's official security forces, according to Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein. This initiative comes amidst significant shifts in the Middle East, including the weakening of Iran's allies in Gaza and Lebanon and the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria. Hussein emphasized that the presence of weapons outside state control is unacceptable and expressed hope that these groups would lay down their arms and join the government-controlled forces. The move is part of Iraq's effort to balance its relations with both the United States and Iran, especially with the incoming Trump administration. Hussein noted that while Iraq aims to maintain good relations with Washington, it is too early to predict Trump's policy towards Iraq or Iran. Additionally, Iraq is concerned about the resurgence of ISIS in Syria and is in talks with the new Syrian government to ensure stability and inclusivity in the political process.
View original story
Minor violations reported • 25%
Agreement holds without violations • 25%
Major violations reported • 25%
Agreement completely breaks down • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Strategic shift towards peace • 25%
Increased military aggression • 25%
Stricter enforcement • 25%
Relaxed enforcement • 25%
No change • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Partial disarmament • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete disarmament • 25%
Integration into security forces • 25%