Market
What will be the outcome of the Syrian opposition's advance by June 30, 2025?
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Turkish•Tayyip Erdogan•Syrian•Syria•Idlib•Hama•Homs•Damascus•Erdogan•Turkey•Bashar Assad•Assad•Syrian conflict
Resolution / Starting Odds
Opposition captures Damascus • 25%
Opposition captures other major cities but not Damascus • 25%
Opposition fails to capture any major cities • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Reports from international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Erdogan Backs Syrian Opposition's Advances to Damascus
Dec 6, 2024, 11:14 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has expressed support for Syrian opposition forces as they advance in Syria, targeting key cities including Idlib, Hama, Homs, and Damascus. Erdogan stated that Turkey had previously reached out to Syrian President Bashar Assad to discuss Syria's future, but Assad did not respond positively. Erdogan emphasized that the opposition's progress should continue without incidents and reiterated Turkey's backing of their operations. These remarks highlight Turkey's active role in the Syrian conflict and its alignment with opposition forces.
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Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Stalemate with no decisive control • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels encircle but do not capture Damascus • 25%
Government retains control of Damascus • 25%
Regime reestablished • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Full control and recognized government • 25%
Rebels retreat • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels halted before reaching Damascus • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad Regime retains control • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Government regains lost territory • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Rebels fully encircle Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad regains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government retains control with no significant changes • 25%
Opposition advances into Damascus • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%