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What will be the outcome of Iran's involvement in Syria's political processes by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Syrian government, UN reports, or major news outlets
Story
Iran Maintains No Direct Contact With Syria's Transitional Government, Supports Sovereignty and Political Processes
Dec 23, 2024, 08:09 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei has stated that there is currently no direct contact between the Islamic Republic and the transitional government in Syria. Baghaei mentioned that Iran has been in communication with various opposition groups in Syria for a long time, emphasizing that Iran's presence in Syria was aimed at preventing the spread of terrorism and supporting political processes in the country. Iran has expressed its support for Syria's sovereignty and stressed that the country should not become a haven for terrorism.
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No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Improved relations with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
Iran reduces presence • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Iran increases presence • 25%
Iran maintains current stance • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
No change • 25%