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What will be the future role of Iranian influence in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Analysis from credible international news agencies and expert reports
Story
Syrian Rebels Remove Soleimani, Nasrallah Posters from Iranian Embassy Amid Assad's Collapse
Dec 8, 2024, 06:13 AM
Syrian residents and rebels have torn down posters of Qassem Soleimani and Hassan Nasrallah from the facade of the Iranian Embassy in Damascus. Videos and images circulating on social media captured the destruction of banners featuring the late Iranian military commander Soleimani and the former Hezbollah leader Nasrallah at the Iranian Embassy compound. This incident follows reports of armed opposition entering Damascus and the reported collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime, with some sources mentioning the flight of Iranian embassy staff.
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No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
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Increased influence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Humanitarian aid only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Decreased military involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increase advisors only • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Provide missile and drone support • 25%
Deploy ground forces • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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No change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
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Shifts to a more neutral stance • 25%
Opposes current Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues to support Syrian sovereignty • 25%