Market
Outcome of Iran's involvement in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Reports from international organizations such as the UN or credible news agencies
Story
IRGC Chief Calls Syrian Conflict a 'Bitter Lesson,' Warns Israel Will 'Pay a Heavy Price'
Dec 15, 2024, 08:28 AM
Commander-in-Chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Major General Hossein Salami, stated that events in Syria have been a 'bitter and difficult lesson' that must be learned from. Speaking at a conference, Salami emphasized that Iran's presence in Syria aimed to preserve the dignity of the Syrian people and not to annex Syrian territory. He asserted that Syria would be liberated by its own strong sons and that foreign forces are seeking to divide the country, each attempting to occupy parts of its land. Salami warned that Israel would 'pay a heavy price' and would be 'buried' in Syria, though this would take some time. He expressed concern that 'Israelis can see inside the households in Damascus with the naked eye,' calling this situation 'intolerable.' He reaffirmed Iran's commitment to defending its security, independence, and territory, stating that Iran would not allow anyone to threaten it.
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Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Full presence maintained • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
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Deploy ground forces • 25%
Increase advisors only • 25%
Provide missile and drone support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with Western countries • 25%
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Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%