Market
What will be the outcome of Iranian-backed militias' intervention in Syria by June 30, 2025?
2
Syria•Iraq•Syrian army•Syrian•Popular Mobilization Forces•Hashd al Shaabi•Kataib Hezbollah•Fatemiyoun
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and conflict monitoring organizations
Story
Thousands of Iranian-Backed Fighters Enter Syria from Iraq to Bolster Syrian Army Against Rebels
Dec 2, 2024, 07:27 AM
Iranian-backed militias have entered Syria from Iraq to support the Syrian army in its fight against insurgents. According to Syrian military sources, thousands of fighters from groups including the Popular Mobilization Forces (Hashd al Shaabi), Kataib Hezbollah, and Fatemiyoun crossed into Syria via the Al-Bukamal border crossing. The reinforcements, which include armored vehicles and drones, aim to bolster beleaguered Syrian forces battling rebels in the northern regions, where the army has been retreating after losing strongholds. Iraq has closed its border to facilitate the departure of additional fighters into Syria.
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Decisive victory for Syrian government • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Rebel forces gain ground • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Military advisors only • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Humanitarian aid only • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran maintains current involvement • 25%
Iran withdraws support from Syria • 25%
Iran mediates a peace agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Troops remain • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops increased • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deploy ground forces • 25%
Increase advisors only • 25%
Provide missile and drone support • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Decreased Iranian influence • 25%
Other regional power gains influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased Iranian influence • 25%