Market
Will Iranian-backed militias achieve a strategic victory in northern Syria by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major international news agencies and statements from Syrian government or military sources
Story
Iran-Backed Militias from Iraq Enter Syria to Aid Assad's Forces
Dec 2, 2024, 07:39 AM
Iranian-backed militias, including Iraq’s Kataib Hezbollah and Fatemiyoun groups, have entered Syria from Iraq overnight to reinforce Syrian government forces battling insurgents in the northern regions of the country. According to two Syrian military sources, dozens of Hashd al-Shaabi fighters crossed near Al Bukamal, with reinforcements heading to the northern frontlines. This move is seen as an effort to bolster the beleaguered Syrian army against ongoing rebel offensives.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Syrian army regains significant territory • 25%
Rebels gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Support Syrian army directly in combat • 25%
Other objective • 25%
Conduct independent operations • 25%
Secure supply lines and logistics • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
