Market
What will be the next significant action in Turkey-Syria relations by June 30, 2025?
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Turkish•Hakan Fidan•National Intelligence Organization•MIT•Ibrahim Kalin•Damascus•Syria•Al Jazeera•Turkey•Syrian•Jawlani
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official announcements or reports in major news outlets
Story
Turkish Delegation, Including Foreign Minister and Intel Chief, Arrives in Damascus for Talks
Dec 12, 2024, 12:40 PM
A high-level Turkish delegation, including Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and the head of the National Intelligence Organization (MIT), Ibrahim Kalin, has arrived in Damascus, the capital of Syria, according to Al Jazeera. This visit marks a significant diplomatic engagement between Turkey and Syria, countries with a history of strained relations. The delegation's arrival comes amidst ongoing regional tensions and efforts to normalize relations between the two nations. Although there has been no official confirmation from Turkish authorities, sources indicate that the delegation might meet with key Syrian figures such as Ahmad al-Shar’a (Jawlani) and Muhammad al-Bashir.
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Other diplomatic action • 25%
Signing a trade agreement • 25%
Resuming direct flights • 25%
Joint military operation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations with the US • 25%
Deteriorated relations with the US • 25%
Increased support to local factions • 25%
Military operation against PKK • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange program initiation • 25%
Joint military cooperation announcement • 25%
Signing of a trade agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Air strikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
No military action • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiative • 25%
Full ambassador appointment • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Agreement on de-escalation measures • 25%
Continued diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions leading to sanctions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%