Market
What will be the impact of Arbel Yehud's release on Israel-Hamas relations by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Official statements from Israeli or Palestinian authorities, or verified news reports
Story
Islamic Jihad Releases Video of Hostage Arbel Yehud Urging Netanyahu and Trump to Honor Agreement
Jan 27, 2025, 06:44 PM
Palestinian Islamic Jihad has released a propaganda video of Israeli hostage Arbel Yehud, filmed on January 25, in which she addresses her family, says 'I am fine and hope to return to you soon,' and urges Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald Trump to adhere to the agreement so that all hostages can go home. Yehud is expected to be released on Thursday as part of an agreement with Israel. Her delayed release previously threatened to derail the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. Israeli officials confirm that an agreement has been reached regarding her release, while the Prime Minister's office states that talks are ongoing.
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Released by January 31 • 25%
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