Market
What will be the international community's response to the hostage release agreement by March 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Statements from international bodies or verified news reports
Story
Islamic Jihad Releases Video of Hostage Arbel Yehud Urging Netanyahu and Trump to Honor Agreement
Jan 27, 2025, 06:44 PM
Palestinian Islamic Jihad has released a propaganda video of Israeli hostage Arbel Yehud, filmed on January 25, in which she addresses her family, says 'I am fine and hope to return to you soon,' and urges Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald Trump to adhere to the agreement so that all hostages can go home. Yehud is expected to be released on Thursday as part of an agreement with Israel. Her delayed release previously threatened to derail the ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. Israeli officials confirm that an agreement has been reached regarding her release, while the Prime Minister's office states that talks are ongoing.
View original story
Similar markets
Both UN and EU praise the agreement • 25%
EU praises the agreement • 25%
UN praises the agreement • 25%
Neither UN nor EU praise the agreement • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for mediation efforts • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Calls for increased sanctions • 25%
Calls for independent mediation • 25%
Increased international pressure on Hamas • 25%
Other international actions • 25%
Increased support for Israel's stance • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Condemn US actions • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Support US actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
International peacekeeping force deployed • 25%
UN sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation and diplomatic actions • 25%
