What will be the determined cause of the Baltic Sea cable damage by June 30, 2025?
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Official reports from U.S. or European intelligence agencies
Washington Post: Intel Officials Say Baltic Cable Damage Was Accidental, Not Russian Sabotage
Jan 19, 2025, 02:45 PM
U.S. and European intelligence officials have concluded that the recent damages to undersea cables in the Baltic Sea were likely caused by maritime accidents rather than Russian sabotage, according to reports by the Washington Post. Investigations have found no evidence linking Russia to the incidents and suggest that the ships involved did not act intentionally or under Moscow's direction. The emerging consensus among security services indicates that unintentional actions by ships, possibly involving dragging anchors, led to the damage. The ship 'Eagle S' has been mentioned in connection with one of the cable ruptures. However, some officials and experts express skepticism over the accident explanation. Pekka Toveri, a Finnish official, described the idea that the damage was accidental as 'absolute nonsense'.
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Inconclusive findings • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Accidental digging • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
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Unknown/Other • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Accidental Damage • 25%
Natural Causes • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Sabotage by another entity • 25%
Anchor damage by 'Eagle S' • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Cause undetermined • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Resolved with conviction • 25%
Closed without resolution • 25%
Resolved without conviction • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased maritime security measures • 25%
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Collaboration on international security protocols • 25%
No significant changes • 25%