Market
Will a responsible party be identified for the Finland-Sweden cable damage by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from Finnish police or governmental bodies
Story
Finland-Sweden Internet Cable Damage Leaves 6,000 Without Service; Authorities Deny Sabotage
Dec 3, 2024, 08:06 AM
An internet cable connecting Finland and Sweden was found damaged in two locations on land in Finland on December 3, 2024. The Finnish cable company Global Connect announced that its services were disrupted due to the cable breaks, significantly reducing internet capacity between the two countries and leaving approximately 6,000 households without communications. While initial reports suggested that Finnish police were investigating the incident as possible sabotage, authorities later denied this, stating that the cables may have been accidentally severed during digging activities. Swedish authorities were informed and are monitoring the situation.
View original story
Similar markets
State Actor • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Accidental cause • 25%
State actor • 25%
Non-state actor • 25%
Another vessel • 25%
Eagle S crew • 25%
No entity held accountable • 25%
Eagle S owner • 25%
Confirmed sabotage by foreign entity • 25%
Confirmed accidental damage • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Technical fault confirmed • 25%
Vessel involvement confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
No conclusive cause • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Another vessel • 25%
Eagle S • 25%
Xin Xin Tian • 25%
No vessel identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
United States • 25%