Market
What will be determined as the cause of the Finland-Sweden cable damage by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental digging • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Finnish authorities or Global Connect
Story
Finland-Sweden Internet Cable Damage Leaves 6,000 Without Service; Authorities Deny Sabotage
Dec 3, 2024, 08:06 AM
An internet cable connecting Finland and Sweden was found damaged in two locations on land in Finland on December 3, 2024. The Finnish cable company Global Connect announced that its services were disrupted due to the cable breaks, significantly reducing internet capacity between the two countries and leaving approximately 6,000 households without communications. While initial reports suggested that Finnish police were investigating the incident as possible sabotage, authorities later denied this, stating that the cables may have been accidentally severed during digging activities. Swedish authorities were informed and are monitoring the situation.
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Natural causes • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Accidental damage during construction • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%
Technical Fault • 25%
Non-State Actor • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
State Actor • 25%
No conclusive cause • 25%
Vessel involvement confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Technical fault confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed sabotage by foreign entity • 25%
Confirmed accidental damage • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical failure • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Other • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Resolved with conviction • 25%
Closed without resolution • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Resolved without conviction • 25%