Will official investigations confirm Baltic Sea cable damage as accidental by March 31, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports from U.S. or European intelligence agencies
Washington Post: Intel Officials Say Baltic Cable Damage Was Accidental, Not Russian Sabotage
Jan 19, 2025, 02:45 PM
U.S. and European intelligence officials have concluded that the recent damages to undersea cables in the Baltic Sea were likely caused by maritime accidents rather than Russian sabotage, according to reports by the Washington Post. Investigations have found no evidence linking Russia to the incidents and suggest that the ships involved did not act intentionally or under Moscow's direction. The emerging consensus among security services indicates that unintentional actions by ships, possibly involving dragging anchors, led to the damage. The ship 'Eagle S' has been mentioned in connection with one of the cable ruptures. However, some officials and experts express skepticism over the accident explanation. Pekka Toveri, a Finnish official, described the idea that the damage was accidental as 'absolute nonsense'.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accidental damage confirmed • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Accidental digging • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Resolved with conviction • 25%
Resolved without conviction • 25%
Closed without resolution • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Technical fault confirmed • 25%
No conclusive cause • 25%
Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Vessel involvement confirmed • 25%
Confirmed sabotage by foreign entity • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed accidental damage • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased maritime security measures • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Collaboration on international security protocols • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Undetermined cause • 25%
Accidental maritime incident • 25%
Russian sabotage • 25%
Other nation-state involvement • 25%