Market
What will be the control status of the specified Syrian towns by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains under current control • 25%
Under IDF control • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Under other forces' control • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements
Story
IDF Warns Residents of Five Syrian Border Towns to Stay Indoors as Troops Enter Buffer Zone
Dec 8, 2024, 03:12 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have issued urgent warnings to residents of five southern Syrian towns near the Israeli border, advising them to stay indoors until further notice due to impending military operations. The affected towns are Ovania, Quneitra, Al-Hamidiya, Al-Samdaniya Al-Gharbiyya, and Al-Qahtaniya. IDF spokesperson Col. Avichay Adraee stated, "The fighting in your area is forcing the IDF to act, and we do not intend to harm you." Troops are reportedly advancing into the buffer zone between Israel and Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Government controls all major cities • 25%
Control is evenly split • 25%
No clear control in major cities • 25%
Rebels control majority of major cities • 25%
Government retains control • 25%
International peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Equal control/shared control • 25%
Rebels control major cities • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
No control • 25%
Control disputed • 25%
Complete control • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Israeli-backed forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
HTS • 25%