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What will be the status of Assad's territorial control by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased territorial control • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and analysis from geopolitical think tanks
Story
Assad Seeks Russian and Iranian Aid Amid Rebel Advances in Homs
Dec 6, 2024, 11:45 AM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is facing significant challenges as rebel forces make advances, particularly around the strategically important city of Homs. According to PJ Crowley, a former US Assistant Secretary of State, Assad is not in immediate danger but is likely to lose control over some parts of the country. Assad's regime is increasingly desperate for support from Russia and Iran to counter the rebel offensive. Iranian Foreign Minister Sayyed Abbas Araghchi has been in discussions with Iraqi leadership regarding the situation in Syria, while Iran aims to bolster its military support by sending missiles, drones, and increasing the number of its military advisers to aid Assad against the rebels.
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Regime collapse • 25%
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