Market
Control of majority of Syrian territory by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israeli-backed forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international organizations and news agencies
Story
Israel and US Launch Airstrikes in Syria After Assad's Collapse; Hezbollah Calls Situation 'Dangerous'
Dec 9, 2024, 12:55 PM
Following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria, Israel has launched airstrikes across the country, marking a significant shift in the regional power dynamics. The Israeli military's actions come amid reports of U.S. airstrikes also targeting Syrian locations. Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militant group, has expressed concerns over the developments, labeling the situation a 'major, dangerous, and new transformation.' This response marks Hezbollah's first official statement regarding the toppling of its ally, Assad. The collapse of the Assad regime is expected to have strategic implications for Israel and the broader Middle East, as it captures a buffer zone in Syria and ends a longstanding border agreement. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are reportedly intensifying their operations along the northern border in response to Hezbollah's actions, which have included violations of the ceasefire.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Turkish-backed Forces • 25%
Opposition Groups • 25%
Pro-Assad Forces • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
SDF • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Opposition • 25%
Kurdish Groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad's government • 25%
Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
A remnant of the Assad regime • 25%
A new coalition government • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%