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What will be identified as the major obstacle in implementing the Israel-Hamas ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
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Israel•Hamas•Gaza•UN•António Guterres•Guterres•Egypt•Qatar•United States•Israeli•Isaac Herzog•Mirjana Spoljaric Egger
Resolution / Starting Odds
Political Disagreements • 25%
Security Issues • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and statements from involved parties
Story
UN Welcomes Ceasefire and Hostage Release Deal in Gaza Set for January 19, Brokered by Egypt, Qatar, and USA
Jan 15, 2025, 07:26 PM
A ceasefire and hostage release deal has been reached between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, as announced by UN Secretary-General António Guterres. Guterres welcomed the agreement and commended the mediators—Egypt, Qatar, and the United States—for their efforts in brokering the deal. He emphasized the importance of all parties upholding their commitments to ensure the full implementation of the agreement. The ceasefire is set to begin on January 19, and it includes a prisoner and hostage exchange. Israeli President Isaac Herzog met with the President of the International Committee of the Red Cross, Mirjana Spoljaric Egger, to discuss preparations for the hostage transfer.
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Hamas violations • 25%
Israeli military actions • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
International pressure • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Prisoner exchange disputes • 25%
Other • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Border security arrangements • 25%
Hostage release terms • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire duration • 25%
Third-party intervention • 25%
Renewed hostilities initiated by Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Renewed hostilities initiated by Hamas • 25%
Internal political pressure • 25%
Breach of terms by Israel • 25%
Breach of terms by Hamas • 25%
External interference • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical issues • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%