Market
Main sticking point in Gaza ceasefire negotiations by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostage release terms • 25%
Ceasefire duration • 25%
Border security arrangements • 25%
Other • 25%
The outcome can be determined based on analysis and reports from credible news sources such as The Washington Post or The Guardian.
Story
Netanyahu Delays Cabinet Vote on Ceasefire Deal, Accuses Hamas of Last-Minute Crisis
Jan 16, 2025, 09:02 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has accused Hamas of reneging on parts of the Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal, creating a last-minute crisis that prevents the completion of the agreement. Netanyahu's office stated that Hamas is backtracking on explicit understandings reached with mediators and Israel in an attempt to extort last-minute concessions. As a result, the Israeli Cabinet will not meet to approve the ceasefire deal until mediators confirm that Hamas has fully agreed to all elements of the agreement.
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Involvement of third-party mediators • 25%
Other • 25%
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Hostage exchange terms • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Security Issues • 25%
Political Disagreements • 25%
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Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
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Logistical challenges • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
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Lack of international mediation • 25%
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Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
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