Market
What significant political actions will Lukashenko take following the 2025 election by end of 2025?
2
Alexander Lukashenko•Lukashenko•Valery Syrankou•Siarhei Haidukevich•Hanna Kanapatskaya•European Union
Resolution / Starting Odds
Constitutional changes proposed • 25%
Increased political repression • 25%
International diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official announcements and credible news reports
Story
Lukashenko Secures 87.6% in Belarus Election, EU Rejects Results Amid Minimal Opposition
Jan 26, 2025, 05:19 PM
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has won the presidential election with 87.6% of the vote, according to exit polls conducted by the Belarusian Committee of Youth Organizations. The election results show Lukashenko facing minimal opposition, with other candidates receiving significantly lower percentages: Valery Syrankou at 2.7%, Siarhei Haidukevich at 1.8%, and Hanna Kanapatskaya at 1.6%. The turnout was reported at 47.56% as of 10:00 on election day. The European Union has stated it will not recognize the election results, describing them as an insult to democracy and lacking legitimacy.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant changes • 25%
New political opposition movements • 25%
Constitutional changes • 25%
Increased authoritarian measures • 25%
Other candidate wins • 10%
Lukashenko wins • 70%
Election annulled • 10%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Interim government established • 25%
Other • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains in power • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
Other responses • 25%
General acceptance of the results • 25%
Calls for dialogue without sanctions • 25%
Condemnation and new sanctions • 25%
New leader from Lukashenko's party • 25%
New leader from opposition • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
None of these • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Strengthened ties with Russia • 25%
Improved relations with the EU • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased isolation • 25%