Market
How will Belarus's foreign relations change by December 31, 2025, following the election?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened ties with Russia • 25%
Improved relations with the EU • 25%
Increased isolation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official announcements from Belarusian government or international news reports
Story
Putin Congratulates Lukashenko on Seventh Term Victory in Belarus, Anticipates Moscow Visit
Jan 27, 2025, 08:32 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko on his re-election for a seventh term in office, following the presidential election in Belarus. Putin praised Lukashenko's 'convincing victory' as a demonstration of his high political authority and the 'undoubted support' from the Belarusian population. The election results showed Lukashenko securing 86.82% of the votes. Putin expressed his anticipation for Lukashenko's upcoming visit to Moscow, emphasizing the continued development of multifaceted cooperation between Russia and Belarus.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Increased tension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Shift towards Western alignment • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Lukashenko wins • 70%
Election annulled • 10%
Other candidate wins • 10%
Recognized by most countries • 25%
Undecided by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Not recognized by most countries • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains in power • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
Largely disputed • 25%
Recognized by some, disputed by others • 25%
Widely recognized • 25%
Not recognized • 25%