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What political changes will occur in Belarus by December 31, 2025, following the election?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Constitutional changes • 25%
New political opposition movements • 25%
Increased authoritarian measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements from Belarusian government or credible news sources
Story
Putin Congratulates Lukashenko on Seventh Term Victory in Belarus, Anticipates Moscow Visit
Jan 27, 2025, 08:32 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko on his re-election for a seventh term in office, following the presidential election in Belarus. Putin praised Lukashenko's 'convincing victory' as a demonstration of his high political authority and the 'undoubted support' from the Belarusian population. The election results showed Lukashenko securing 86.82% of the votes. Putin expressed his anticipation for Lukashenko's upcoming visit to Moscow, emphasizing the continued development of multifaceted cooperation between Russia and Belarus.
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Lukashenko wins • 70%
Other candidate wins • 10%
Election annulled • 10%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Alexander Lukashenko remains in power • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Other • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
International diplomatic engagement • 25%
Constitutional changes proposed • 25%
Increased political repression • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Not recognized by most countries • 25%
Undecided by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Recognized by most countries • 25%
New leader from opposition • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
New leader from Lukashenko's party • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Small-scale protests • 25%
Large-scale protests • 25%
Moderate protests • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Form a government-in-exile • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Organize mass protests • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Military coup • 25%