Market
What will be the EU's diplomatic response to Belarus' 2025 election by September 30, 2025?
2
Alexander Lukashenko•Lukashenko•Valery Syrankou•Siarhei Haidukevich•Hanna Kanapatskaya•European Union
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official EU statements and actions reported by credible news sources
Story
Lukashenko Secures 87.6% in Belarus Election, EU Rejects Results Amid Minimal Opposition
Jan 26, 2025, 05:19 PM
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has won the presidential election with 87.6% of the vote, according to exit polls conducted by the Belarusian Committee of Youth Organizations. The election results show Lukashenko facing minimal opposition, with other candidates receiving significantly lower percentages: Valery Syrankou at 2.7%, Siarhei Haidukevich at 1.8%, and Hanna Kanapatskaya at 1.6%. The turnout was reported at 47.56% as of 10:00 on election day. The European Union has stated it will not recognize the election results, describing them as an insult to democracy and lacking legitimacy.
View original story
Similar markets
Impose new sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Engagement with Belarus • 25%
Condemnation and new sanctions • 25%
Other responses • 25%
General acceptance of the results • 25%
Calls for dialogue without sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Undecided by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Recognized by most countries • 25%
Not recognized by most countries • 25%
Call for investigation • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Organize mass protests • 25%
Form a government-in-exile • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
