Market
Which major global powers will recognize Lukashenko's 2025 victory by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
None of these • 25%
Official statements from governments or credible news reports
Story
Belarus's Lukashenko Wins Seventh Term with 87.6% Amid Accusations of Sham Election
Jan 26, 2025, 05:33 PM
Belarus held presidential elections on Sunday, with incumbent President Alexander Lukashenko expected to secure his seventh term in office, extending his 30-year rule over the country. Exit polls indicate that Lukashenko won with 87.6% of the vote, amid widespread criticism from opposition groups and international observers who have denounced the election as a sham lacking real opposition. Lukashenko, who referred to Belarus as a 'brutal democracy' after casting his vote, has maintained an authoritarian grip on the country since 1994, with political opponents jailed or exiled and independent media suppressed. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas stated, 'This is a blatant affront to democracy. Lukashenko doesn’t have any legitimacy.' The European Union and other Western nations have condemned the election, citing the lack of democratic processes and the suppression of dissent.
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Similar markets
Recognized by Russia • 25%
Recognized by China • 25%
Recognized by both Russia and China • 25%
Not recognized by either • 25%
Recognized by most countries • 25%
Undecided by February 28, 2025 • 25%
Recognized by some countries • 25%
Not recognized by most countries • 25%
General acceptance of the results • 25%
Calls for dialogue without sanctions • 25%
Condemnation and new sanctions • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
Not recognized • 25%
Widely recognized • 25%
Recognized by some, disputed by others • 25%
Largely disputed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Lukashenko wins • 70%
No clear outcome by January 31, 2025 • 10%
Election annulled • 10%
Other candidate wins • 10%
Constitutional changes proposed • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
International diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased political repression • 25%
None of the above • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%